Min Zeng1*, LvJie Fan1, XinYu Zheng2

">
Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics.
Open Access

CONSTRUCTION OF JUNEAU’S TOURISM SOCIAL COST-ECONOMIC BENEFIT MODEL AND KEY FACTOR ANALYSIS BASED ON AHP AND MULTIVARIABLE ADJUSTMENT

Download as PDF

Volume 4, Issue 1, Pp 61-68, 2026

DOI: https://doi.org/10.61784/wjebr3090

Author(s)

Min Zeng1*, LvJie Fan1, XinYu Zheng2

Affiliation(s)

1College of Applied Mathematics, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, Sichuan, China.

2School of Information Science and Technology, Xizang University, Lhasa 850000, Tibet, China.

Corresponding Author

Min Zeng

ABSTRACT

In 2023, Juneau, Alaska, received a record 1.6 million cruise visitors, bringing significant revenue but severe overcrowding. To address this, this study develops a sustainable tourism model prioritizing economic benefit maximization. It uses linear fitting/trigonometric functions for visitor numbers, logarithmic/linear functions for tourism revenue, differential equations for environmental pressure, and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) for a constrained social cost model. Analysis shows Juneau’s total economic benefit peaks at ~1,026,453 visitors, with an income-expenditure plan and feedback mechanism proposed. A multivariable adjustment approach further quantifies impacts of variables (e.g., visitor spending, tax rates) and identifies key factors (e.g., visitor numbers, glacier melting rate) to support tourism decision-making.

KEYWORDS

Sustainable tourism model; Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP); Economic benefit maximization; Juneau; Multivariable adjustment

CITE THIS PAPER

Min Zeng, LvJie Fan, XinYu Zheng. Construction of Juneau's tourism social cost-economic benefit model and key factor analysis based on AHP and multivariable adjustment. World Journal of Economics and Business Research. 2026, 4(1): 61-68. DOI: https://doi.org/10.61784/wjebr3090.

REFERENCES

[1] McKinley Research Group. Economic Impact of Juneau’s Cruise Industry 2023. Juneau: City and Borough of Juneau, 2024.

[2] Feng Wenjing, Wei Yunjie, Kong Lei, et al. Meta-analysis of Carbon Emission Characteristics of Tourist Attractions in China. Journal of Resources and Ecology, 2024, 15(2): 464-473.

[3] Kim M, Choi K W, Chang M, et al. Overtourism in Jeju Island: The Influencing Factors and Mediating Role of Quality of Life. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 2020, 7(5): 145-154.

[4] Bergantino A, Buongiorno A, Intini M. Assessing the vulnerability of tourist destinations to overtourism: An empirical approach. Sustainability, 2023, 15(12): 9680.

[5] Gossling S, Peeters P, Hall C M. Drivers of Global Tourism Carbon Emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 2024, 19(10): 104012.

[6] World Tourism Organization (UNWTO). Overtourism? Understanding and managing urban tourism growth beyond perceptions. Madrid: United Nations World Tourism Organization, 2018.

[7] Yang Yitong, Zhao Yuzong, Xiao Jiangnan. Research Progress and Prospects of Overtourism. Resource Development & Market, 2021, 37(11): 1394-1399.

[8] Chen Chen, Li Chuangxin, Zhang Xinmei. Early Warning Index System for Overtourism in Cruise Tourism Destinations. Tourism Tribune, 2023, 38(4): 89-101.

[9] Li Ying, Zhang Hui, Liu Shuai. Carbon Emission Accounting and Analysis of Cruise Tourism in China Under the Carbon Neutrality Background. Journal of Green Finance, 2025, 7(1): 68-79.

[10] Wang Lin, Chen Yu, Zhang Jun. Coupling Coordination Between Green Finance and High-Quality Tourism Development in China. Economic Geography, 2025, 45(9): 156-165.

[11] Xiang Yuchuan, Yang Xiaoxia. Study on influencing factors of tourists' well-being based on embodied cognitive theory. Areal Research and Development, 2023, 42(1): 119-124.

[12] Feng Sha. Study on residents' subjective well-being and its influencing factors: based on multiple prediction models. Research World, 2016(9): 42-49.

[13] Saeptórsdóttir Anna Dóra, Hall C Michael, Wendt Margrét. From Boiling to Frozen? The Rise and Fall of International Tourism to Iceland in the Era of Overtourism. Tourism, 2020, 12(1): 395-413.

[14] Mihalic Tanja, Kuscer Kir. Can overtourism be managed? Destination management factors affecting residents’ irritation and quality of life. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 2022, 30(1): 16-34.

[15] Pei Chao. ITB Asia 2025: Gaining Insights into New Trends of Tourism in Asia-Pacific. China Conference & Exhibition (China Meetings), 2025(20): 66.

All published work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. sitemap
Copyright © 2017 - 2026 Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics.   All Rights Reserved.